A new Emerson College Polling/WTNH/WCTX/The Hill survey of Connecticut’s 5th congressional district finds 49% of voters plan to support incumbent Democratic Representative Jahana Hayes for re-election, while 46% support Republican George Logan. Five percent of voters are undecided.
“There is a stark gender divide on the congressional ballot: men break for Logan 52% to 42% while women break for Hayes 55% to 40%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Independent voters break for Logan, 49% to 45%.”
Over half (52%) of voters have a favorable view of Hayes, while 43% have an unfavorable view of the congresswoman, and 6% are not familiar with her. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Logan, while 33% have an unfavorable view, and 18% are not familiar with him.
On the presidential ballot, 48% of voters in the 5th district plan to support Vice President Kamala Harris, while 47% support former President Donald Trump. Four percent are undecided and 2% plan to vote for someone else.
In the US Senate Election, 50% of 5th district voters support incumbent Senator Chris Murphy while 44% support Republican Matt Corey. Five percent are undecided.
“Five percent of Murphy voters also plan to support Trump for president, compared to less than a percent of Corey voters who would split their ticket and vote for Harris,” Kimball noted.
A majority of voters (53%) in the district think the state is headed in the wrong direction, while 47% think the state is headed in the right direction.
- Perception of the direction of the state falls along partisan lines: 80% of Democrats think the state is headed in the right direction, while 86% of Republicans think it is headed in the wrong direction. Independents split 59% to 41% wrong direction – right direction.
The top issue for Connecticut’s 5th district voters is the economy at 45%, followed by housing affordability at 17%, threats to democracy (10%), and immigration (8%).
Methodology
The Emerson College Polling/WTNH/WCTX/The Hill Connecticut 5th district survey was conducted October 9-11, 2024. The sample of Connecituct’s 5th district likely voters is n=725, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.6 percentage points.
The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and party affiliation based on 2024 likely voter modeling. Turnout modeling per state is based on U.S. Census parameters, exit polling, and voter registration data.
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text (phone list provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English.
All questions asked in this survey with the exact wording, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results. The surveys were funded by Nexstar Media.
