Majority of Voters (56%) Undecided
52% Oppose Public Funding for A’s Baseball Stadium, 32% Support
A new Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill poll of Las Vegas mayoral primary voters finds 16% of voters support former U.S. Democratic Rep. Shelley Berkley, 12% support Republican City Councilwoman Victoria Seaman, and 7% support City Councilman Cedric Crear. A majority of voters (56%) are undecided about which candidate they will support to replace term-limited Mayor Carolyn Goodman.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted: “Berkley holds 27% support among Democrats, with Seaman garnering 24% from Republicans in Las Vegas. Additionally, a significant 70% of independent voters remain undecided. Despite 56% of voters overall yet to make a decision, this contest appears to be a three-horse race among the 15 candidates at this time.”
Voters were asked if they support or oppose the use of public money going toward the construction of a baseball stadium for the Las Vegas A’s: 52% oppose, 32% support, and 17% are unsure.
“Union members, or those with a union member in their household, support public funding going toward the stadium at a higher rate than non-union members, 46% to 28%,” Kimball noted. “Voters remain divided on this issue, with no clear consensus candidate emerging among the top three contenders, irrespective of their stances.”
The economy is the top concern for Vegas voters at 26%, followed by housing affordability (18%), education (15%), immigration (9%), healthcare (8%), and threats to democracy (8%).
Methodology
The Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill survey was conducted April 1-2, 2024. The sample of likely mayoral primary voters, n=500, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 4.3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party affiliation, and region based on 2024 registration modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, and voter registration data (NV S.O.S.).
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web (list provided by Aristotle), and an online panel of voters provided by CINT.
This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media. All questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results and cross tabulations can be found under “Full Results.”
