An Emerson College Polling/KLAS 8 News Now/The Hill survey of Nevada voters finds 50% support Republican Adam Laxalt for US Senate while 45% support Democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto. Three percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Laxalt’s support increases to 51% and Masto to 46%. Since last month, Laxalt has gained eight percentage points and Masto has gained four percentage points.
In the gubernatorial election, Governor Steve Sisolak trails Republican Joe Lombardo 45% to 49%. Three percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Lombardo’s support increases to 50% and Sisolak to 46%. Since September, Lombardo has gained nine percentage points and Sisolak has gained five percentage points.
Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, noted: “In September, nearly a third of Hispanic voters were undecided in the races for US Senate and Nevada Governor. A week from election day, a majority of Hispanic voters support Republicans Laxalt and Lombardo over their Democratic incumbent opponents, at 54% and 51% respectively. This change occurs between September and now when Cortez Masto was leading 44% to 25% with 29% undecided among Hispanics, and now trails with these voters 54% to 41%.”
In the 1st Congressional District, Republican Mark Robertson has a ten-point lead over incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, 51% to 41%. Five percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Robertson’s support increases to 54% and Titus to 42%. Since the July Emerson/KLAS/The Hill survey, Titus has held at 41% while Robertson has gained 14 percentage points, from 37% to 51%.
In the 2nd Congressional District, Republican Mark Amodei leads Democrat Elizabeth Mercedes Krause 58% to 34%. Two percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Amodei gains one point and Mercades Krause holds a third of support. Since the July Emerson/KLAS/The Hill survey, Mercades Krause has lost two points of support while Amodei has gained 12 points, from 46% to 58%.
In the 3rd Congressional District, 51% of voters plan to vote for Republican April Becker and 47% plan to vote for Democrat Susie Lee. Two percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Becker’s support increases to 52% and Lee’s increases to 47%. Since the July Emerson/KLAS/The Hill survey, Becker has gained 11 points of support, from 40% to 51%, while Lee has gained five points, from 42% to 47%.
In the 4th Congressional District, 48% support Democrat Steven Horsford and 45% support Republican Sam Peters. Five percent are undecided. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Horsford leads 51% to 47%. Since the July Emerson/KLAS/The Hill survey, Horsford and Peters have both gained six points of support, Horsford from 42% to 48%, and Peters from 39% to 45%.
In the Secretary of State election, 43% plan to vote for Republican Jim Marchant while 41% plan to vote for Democrat Francisco “Cisco” Aguilar. Eight percent are undecided.
For Attorney General, 45% plan to vote for Democrat Aaron Ford and 40% plan to vote for Republican Sigal Chattah. Six percent are undecided.
The economy is the top issue in determining the vote for 46% of voters, followed by “threats to democracy” (14%), abortion access (13%) healthcare (7%), and immigration (7%),
President Biden holds a 55% disapproval in Nevada; 40% approve of the job he is doing as president. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential election between President Biden and former President Trump, 47% would support Trump and 42% would support Biden. Six percent would vote for someone else.
Forty-six percent of voters plan to vote against Question 3 on the ballot, which would amend the Nevada Constitution to allow voters the right to participate in open primary election and implement ranked-choice voting, while 41% plan to vote in favor of the question, and 12% are undecided.
The Emerson College Polling/KLAS 8 News Now/The Hill Nevada poll was conducted October 26-29, 2022. The sample consisted of very likely voters, n=2,000, with a Credibility Interval (CI), similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 2.1 percentage points. The 1st Congressional District consisted of n=480, with a CI of +/- 4.4 percentage points. The 2nd Congressional District consisted of n=530, with a CI of +/- 4.2 percentage points. The 3rd Congressional District consisted of n=510, with a CI of +/- 4.3 percentage points. The 4th Congressional District consisted of n=480, with a CI of +/- 4.4 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, region, and race/ethnicity based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using cell phones via SMS-to-web, an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, web survey via email, and an online panel.