U.S. Senate: Rosen 41%, Brown 39%
A new Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill poll in Nevada finds 44% of voters support Donald Trump for president in 2024, and 41% support President Joe Biden. Fifteen percent are undecided. With the candidate undecided voters lean toward accounted for, Trump’s overall support increases to 51%, and Biden to 49%.
“Nevada Hispanic voters support Biden over Trump, 44% to 39%, while white voters break for Trump over Biden, 50% to 39%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted.
Thirty-five percent of Trump voters support the former president because they care about an issue. A quarter (25%) support Trump because they like him, and 20% because they dislike Joe Biden. Forty-two percent of Biden supporters support him because they dislike Trump.
When third-party candidates are added to the ballot, 41% support Trump and 36% Biden. Robert Kennedy Jr. received 9% support, Cornel West 2%, and Jill Stein 1%.
When asked if Joe Biden deserves to be re-elected in November, a majority of voters (61%) believe he does not deserve to be re-elected, while 39% say he deserves a second term.
Voters were also asked if Donald Trump deserves another chance to run for President after what happened on January 6, 2021. Fifty-three percent say Trump does not deserve another chance to run, while 47% think he does deserve another chance.
In a hypothetical U.S. Senate election between Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown, 41% support Rosen and 39% Brown. Twenty-one percent are undecided.
The economy is the top issue for 30% of voters, followed by immigration (15%), education (12%), housing affordability (11%), healthcare (10%), crime (8%), and threats to democracy (8%).
Voters were asked how concerned they were about the following issues in Nevada: crime and border security.
- Crime: 86% concerned (49% very/37% somewhat concerned), 14% not concerned (11% not too/3% not at all concerned)
- Border security: 66% concerned (44% very/22% somewhat concerned), 34% not concerned (25% not too/9% not at all concerned)
A majority of voters (57%) think Formula 1 racing is generally a good thing for Nevada, while 43% think it’s a bad thing.
Methodology
The Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill Nevada survey was conducted March 12-15, 2024. The sample of registered voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party affiliation, and region based on 2024 registration modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, and voter registration data (NV S.O.S.).
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
Data was collected by contacting an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines and a consumer list of emails (both provided by Aristotle), and an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer.
This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media. All questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results and cross tabulations can be found under “Full Results.”
