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August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States

…they are not familiar.  AZ: 13% more likely, 38% less likely, 37% no difference, 13% not familiar Independents: 7% more likely, 41% less likely, 40% no difference, 11% not familiar…

September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas

…leads in California, while Florida, Ohio, and Texas are within the polls’ margin of error.  “There are varying degrees of ticketing splitting in these statewide polls,” Kimball said. “In Ohio,…

September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race

…to 46% margin in North Carolina.  Statewide Elections Arizona: US Senate, 48% support Democrat Ruben Gallego, 42% support Kari Lake. Ten percent are undecided.  Michigan: US Senate, 47% support Democrat…

October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat 

…in Pennsylvania, 49% to 48%. Gender gap on the ballot Generally, female voters tend to support Harris while male voters support Trump, with the lone exception coming in Arizona, where…

November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President

…9% are unsure.  METHODOLOGY The sample size for Arizona is n=900, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/-3.2%. The sample size for Michigan is…