The first Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of the Colorado general election finds incumbent Democrat Michael Bennet with a 10 point lead over Republican Joe O’Dea in the race for US Senate, 46% to 36%. Fourteen percent are undecided and 4% plan to vote for someone else.
Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling said, “Among Colorado’s high share of Independent voters, 47% plan to vote for Bennet for US Senate and 32% for O’Dea. However, a plurality (39%) of Independent voters either have no opinion or have not heard of O’Dea, leaving room for Republican growth with this cohort.”
A majority of voters (52%) have a favorable view of Michael Bennet, while 34% have an unfavorable view of the Senator. Thirty-six percent have a favorable opinion of Joe O’Dea while 32% have a negative opinion of O’Dea.
In the gubernatorial election, incumbent Democrat Jared Polis holds a 17 point lead over Republican Heidi Ganahl, 53% to 36%.
Fifty-six percent have a favorable view of Jared Polis, while 40% have an unfavorable view of the Governor. Thirty-six percent have a favorable view of Heidi Ganahl while 36% have an unfavorable view of Ganahl.
President Biden’s approval is split in the state: 44% approve and 44% disapprove of the job he is doing as president; 12% are neutral. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup between President Biden and former President Trump, Biden holds a 10 point lead, 46% to 36%; 14% would vote for someone else.
Fifty-three percent of voters say they are either much more likely (45%) or somewhat more likely (8%) to vote in the 2022 Midterm Elections following the overturning of Roe v. Wade, while 43% say it makes no difference, and 4% are somewhat less likely (2%) or much less likely (2%) to vote.
The Emerson College Polling/The Hill Colorado poll was conducted September 18-19, 2022. The sample consisted of very likely voters, n=1,000, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, region, party affiliation, and race/ethnicity based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using a cellphone sample using SMS-to-web, Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, web survey via email, and an online panel.