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July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin

…“Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona, eight in Georgia, five in Michigan, 11 in Pennsylvania, and one in Wisconsin…

August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States

…they are not familiar.  AZ: 13% more likely, 38% less likely, 37% no difference, 13% not familiar Independents: 7% more likely, 41% less likely, 40% no difference, 11% not familiar…

September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas

…leads in California, while Florida, Ohio, and Texas are within the polls’ margin of error.  “There are varying degrees of ticketing splitting in these statewide polls,” Kimball said. “In Ohio,…

September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race

…to 46% margin in North Carolina.  Statewide Elections Arizona: US Senate, 48% support Democrat Ruben Gallego, 42% support Kari Lake. Ten percent are undecided.  Michigan: US Senate, 47% support Democrat…

October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat 

…in Pennsylvania, 49% to 48%. Gender gap on the ballot Generally, female voters tend to support Harris while male voters support Trump, with the lone exception coming in Arizona, where…

November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President

…9% are unsure.  METHODOLOGY The sample size for Arizona is n=900, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/-3.2%. The sample size for Michigan is…

Virginia 2025 Poll: Spanberger (D) 42%, Earle-Sears (R) 41%

…percent are neutral, and 18% are not familiar with the Lieutenant Governor.  Virginia voters are split on their view of President-elect Donald Trump: 47% have a favorable view of Trump…

New Jersey 2025 Poll: Primary Elections for Governor Show High Share of Undecideds and Fragmented Democratic Support 

…Twelve percent are neutral and 2% have not heard of Murphy.  “Governor Murphy is eight points more popular among women than men, 48% to 40%. The Governor has a 75%…

January 2025 National Poll: Trump Starts Term With 49% Approval, 41% Disapproval Rating

…said. “Democrats, Republicans, and independents are all aligned that they are slightly more likely to be rooting for the Eagles over the Chiefs this year.” Methodology The Emerson College Polling…