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Montana 2020: Trump Holds Strong as Biden Coalesces Support

…bellwether of sorts to see if Gov. Bullock can buck the trend of 2016 when Trump states went Republican in Senate races while Clinton states went Democratic”. Amid the ongoing…

Boston Mayor 2021: Michelle Wu Leads Mayoral Race by 30 Points

…voters remain undecided. When asked who they would vote for, those who did not vote in the mayoral primary were split between Essaibi-George and Wu (42% to 46%) with 12%…

Kentucky 2023: Daniel Cameron Extends Lead in GOP Gubernatorial Primary over Kelly Craft

…lean towards, and when that vote is added to initial support, Cameron’s support increases to 35%, while Craft holds 18%, and Quarles increases to 15%. “Cameron has grown his  support…

New Hampshire 2024 Poll: Haley Gains, Trump Loses Support but Maintains Lead

…results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times….

September 2024 National Poll: Harris 49%, Trump 47%

…of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.  Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text, landlines via Interactive Voice Response…

October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat 

Democratic Statewide Candidates Hold Edge on GOP Candidates   New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of key swing states finds a tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former…

October 2024 Montana Poll: Sheehy 50%, Tester 46%

…the election for US Senate. Three percent are undecided, while 2% support third-party candidates. When undecided voters are accounted for, Sheehy’s total support rises to 51%, while Tester’s reaches 48%….

October 2024 Michigan Poll: Trump 49%, Harris 48%

…a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.  Data was collected via IVR (phone list provided by Aristotle) and an…

100 Day Poll: Trump and Harris Voters Say They Would Not Change Vote

…voters provided by Commonwealth Opinions. Commonwealth Opinions’ panel includes voters previously opted-in to taking additional surveys through MMS-to-web and email surveys. Panel responses were matched to the Aristotle voter file…