Majority support ballot measures on abortion access & sports gambling
An Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of Missouri voters finds former President Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris 53% to 43% on the 2024 presidential ballot, with 3% undecided. In the U.S. Senate Election, 51% support Republican Josh Hawley, and 40% support Democrat Lucas Kunce; 8% are undecided. In the gubernatorial election between Republican Mike Kehoe and Democrat Crystal Quade, 52% support Kehoe and 36% support Quade; 11% are undecided.
A majority of voters (58%) plan to vote in favor of the ballot measure to amend the Missouri Constitution to provide the right to reproductive freedom, while 30% plan to vote against it. Twelve percent are unsure.
“Democrats support the abortion ballot measure, 90% to 7%, along with independents, 61% to 26%. Republicans oppose it, 50% to 32%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted. “Women support the measure, 60% to 28%, while men support the measure, 54% to 33%.”
Fifty-two percent plan to support the ballot measure to legalize sports wagering for individuals over 21, while 25% plan to vote against it.
“Men support the sports gambling measure at a higher rate than women: 59% to 46%,” Kimball added.
The economy is the top issue for 40% of Missouri likely voters, followed by threats to democracy (11%), crime (9%), immigration (9%), abortion access (8%), housing affordability (8%), healthcare (7%), and education (5%).
Methodology
The Emerson College Polling Missouri survey was conducted September 12-13, 2024. The sample of likely voters, n=850, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on 2024 likely voter modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, exit polling, and voter registration data.
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text (phone list provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English.
All questions asked in this survey with the exact wording, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results. This survey was funded by Nexstar Media.
