The latest Emerson College Polling survey of New York voters finds Governor Kathy Hochul with a 16-point lead in the gubernatorial November election against US Representative Lee Zeldin; the Governor leads the Representative 51% to 35%. Seven percent plan to vote for someone else and 7% are undecided.
“Hochul has a clear base of women voters in New York. The Governor holds a three-point lead over Zeldin among male voters, 46% to 43%, but that lead expands to 29 points among women voters, 55% to 26%,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.
Kimball continued, “While Hochul has a commanding lead in the New York city region, 63% to 17%, the Governor trails Zeldin 49% to 43% in New York City suburbs, and is statistically even in Upstate New York with Zeldin, trailing 44% to 43%.”
Governor Hochul holds a more favorable rating than Zeldin; 44% have a favorable view of the Governor while 30% have a favorable view of the Congressman. Thirty-nine percent have an unfavorable view of Hochul while 29% have an unfavorable view of Zeldin; 17% are neutral or have no opinion on Hochul and 41% are neutral or have no opinion on Zeldin.
Hochul has a 53% job approval as New York’s Governor, similar to that of President Biden’s job approval, who holds a 52% job approval. Forty-one percent disapprove of the job Hochul is doing as Governor, and 48% disapprove of the job Biden is doing as President.
In the US Senate Election, Senator Chuck Schumer leads his Republican challenger Joe Pinion 53% to 31%. Eight percent are undecided and 7% plan to vote for someone else. Schumer has a 48% favorable rating among New York voters, while 42% are unfavorable and 9% are unsure. A majority of voters (80%) have no opinion or are unsure of their view of his opponent Joe Pinion.
In the race for Attorney General, incumbent Attorney General Letitia James leads Michael Henry 50% to 32%. Thirty-eight percent of voters have a favorable opinion of James, 30% have an unfavorable view, and 31% are unsure. The majority of voters (82%) are unsure or have no opinion on Henry.
A slight majority of New York voters (51%) think the United States is headed on the wrong track. Thirty-nine percent think the country is on the right track and 10% are undecided. Fifty-six percent of voters want to see the Democrats to keep control of the US House of Representatives after the November election; 38% want Republicans to control the US House and 6% are undecided.
Forty-nine percent of New York voters hold a favorable view of President Joe Biden, while 46% have an unfavorable view of the president. A majority of New York Voters (63%) have an unfavorable view of former President Donald Trump, while 34% hold a favorable view.
The Emerson College Polling survey of New York voters was conducted July 26-28, 2022. The sample consisted of very likely and almost certain general election voters, n=1,000, with a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, and region based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using a cellphone sample using SMS-to-web, an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, and an online panel.
Siena College Research Institute/Emerson College Polling Project
SCRI and Emerson College Polling simultaneously fielded, and are releasing the pre-election questions in this survey. Each poll used their own methodologies for both fielding and data analysis. For questions about the Siena/Emerson polling project, call either Don Levy (518) 783-2901 or Spencer Kimball (617) 824-3491. Levy and Kimball will provide an analysis of the similarities and differences of their results on Monday, August 8, 2022.