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Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls

…Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; the differences are within each survey’s margin of error. In Arizona, Trump leads by four points: 48% to 44%; 8% are undecided. In…

June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden 

…ballot measure to establish the constitutional right to abortion in their state. In Arizona, 56% would vote “yes,” 26% would vote “no,” and 18% are not sure yet. In Nevada,…

Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%

…2024 election. Eleven percent are undecided. When undecided voters are pushed to choose the candidate they lean toward, Trump and Biden’s overall support increases to 50% respectively.  “In a state…

July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin

…“Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona, eight in Georgia, five in Michigan, 11 in Pennsylvania, and one in Wisconsin…

August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States

…they are not familiar.  AZ: 13% more likely, 38% less likely, 37% no difference, 13% not familiar Independents: 7% more likely, 41% less likely, 40% no difference, 11% not familiar…

September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas

…leads in California, while Florida, Ohio, and Texas are within the polls’ margin of error.  “There are varying degrees of ticketing splitting in these statewide polls,” Kimball said. “In Ohio,…

September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race

…to 46% margin in North Carolina.  Statewide Elections Arizona: US Senate, 48% support Democrat Ruben Gallego, 42% support Kari Lake. Ten percent are undecided.  Michigan: US Senate, 47% support Democrat…

October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat 

…in Pennsylvania, 49% to 48%. Gender gap on the ballot Generally, female voters tend to support Harris while male voters support Trump, with the lone exception coming in Arizona, where…

November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President

…9% are unsure.  METHODOLOGY The sample size for Arizona is n=900, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/-3.2%. The sample size for Michigan is…